Week 12 Rankings

I apologize. It will take a day or two to post the entire rankings. I have switched computers, but I have not yet switched all the software I need. But I do have some rankings this week.

First, The Top 10

1	Oregon	44.1
2	West Virginia	43.1
3	LSU	43.0
4	Kansas	41.5
5	Missouri	41.3
6	Ohio State	41.2
7	Oklahoma	41.1
8	Florida	40.7
9	Arizona State	39.3
10	Virginia Tech	38.4

West Virginia was poised to take the top spot, but played poorly against Louisville and made room for Oregon to slip in without playing a game. LSU could also jump the Mountaineers with an impressive showing in the SEC championship game.

Kansas jumped to #4 after an impressive win against Oklahoma State and Missouri nudged the Buckeyes out of the top 5.

Top 10, BCS variety

1	Kansas	1993
2	Oregon	1883
3	LSU	1879
4	Arizona State	1805
5	Missouri	1786
6	Oklahoma	1768
7	Ohio State	1761
8	Hawaii	1741
9	West Virginia	1697
10	Georgia	1687

This version of the top 10 uses only wins and losses. The big surprise here is that I made one minor modification and Hawaii drops from 3 to 8. Hawaii and Georgia push out Virginia Tech and Florida in this version, and the top spot is grabbed by the Jayhawks (who will belong there if they can win their next three games).

Top 10 Consistency

1	Kansas	4.98
2	Arizona State	5.16
3	Utah State	5.44
4	Florida International	5.61
5	Army	6.31
6	Missouri	6.99
7	Idaho	7.28
8	Fresno State	7.32
9	North Carolina	7.89
10	Hawaii	8.23

A quick note of warning - consistency does not equal good. Army and FIU are not good. Those two, Utah State, and the Vandals of Idaho have each made their way on this list with consistently horrible play. And Kansas finds itself on top of the pack again. Unfortunately for Arizona State fans, they were also consistent when they played Oregon and, very predictably, lost.

Top 10 Inconsistent

1	UCLA	24.55
2	Utah	22.59
3	Central Michigan	21.58
4	Kansas State	20.17
5	Iowa State	20.14
6	UNLV	19.53
7	Nebraska	19.16
8	East Carolina	18.18
9	Kentucky	17.39
10	Marshall	17.30

Again, inconsistency is not necessarily bad (though it won't win you any national championships). Iowa State has squeezed on this list by improving dramatically through the season. UCLA and Utah, on the other hand, have just been completely unpredictable.

Top 10 Hotness

1	Iowa State	0.361
2	Louisiana-Lafayette	0.298
3	Marshall	0.281
4	Illinois	0.260
5	Tulsa	0.215
6	Ohio	0.211
7	Cincinnati	0.205
8	Georgia	0.191
9	Wisconsin	0.178
10	Clemson	0.172

As I mentioned before, Iowa State is playing well. Illinois just shot through the roof in a single game.

Top 10 Coldness

1	Kansas State	-0.421
2	Miami (FL)	-0.314
3	UTEP	-0.265
4	Purdue	-0.218
5	Boston College	-0.205
6	New Mexico State	-0.196
7	Houston	-0.188
8	South Carolina	-0.163
9	UAB	-0.159
10	New Mexico	-0.158

As well as Iowa State has been playing recently, Kansas State has been worse, losing to Iowa State and then losing in embarrassing fashion to the Corn Huskers. I mentioned in an earlier blog, the Clemson/Boston College game is one of teams moving in opposite directions.

Most unexpected winners

	Home	Road	Spread	Score
7	UNLV	Utah	-7.5	27-0
6	Oregon	California	6.5	24-31
5	Middle Tenn	Lo-Lafayette	13.5	24-34
4	Michigan St	Northwestern	14.5	41-48
3	Louisville	Syracuse	37	35-38
2	UCLA	Notre Dame	22	6-20
1	USC	Stanford	41	23-24

I have limited this to winners, because some of the most unexpected outcomes this season were teams that almost won and shouldn't have had a chance - and "almost-upsets", as you learn as a child, aren't horseshoes or hand grenades. The USC/Stanford game was as big of a spread as you will ever see, but Cal beating Oregon has turned out to be a comparably unlikely event. Interestingly, UNLV is the only team to pull off the impossible at home.